Tuli Elephants

Tuli Elephants | Statistics | Herd Identification

SIZE OF THE POPULATION

To assess the number of elephants in the Central Limpopo Valley two total aerial counts were conducted within the study area. The counts were done in August 00 and July 01. Observers was instructed to count all groups and the numbers, location, habitat of all elephants was recorded and plotted on a 1:250 000 GIS map of the area.

The aerial count covered a previously identified range. Current information suggests this as the Northern Tuli Game Reserve, the Tuli Block up to Bainsdrift, Tuli Circle, Shashe River and the Maramani, Nottingham Estate and Sentinel Ranch area in Zimbabwe as well as the Limpopo riverine strip on the South African side.

Three aeroplanes were used to carry out a simultaneous count in the three different countries. The Central Limpopo Valley was divided according to the different countries involved. The aim of the total aerial censuses is to obtain a minimum count for the elephant population utilising the Central Limpopo Valley study area. During August 2000 the first total aerial count of the Central Limpopo Valley Elephant Population was done. The total number of elephants counted in the study area was 1388. The procedures followed were similar for both total counts done in the study area. A 10% correction factor was used as prescribed by Kruger National Park.During the total aerial count of July 2001 a total of 1238 elephants were counted over a three-day period. A 10% correction factor was used giving a minimum count of 1362 elephants within the study area. The results of the minimum total aerial counts are represented in table 1 and figure 1.

Table 1: Comparison of the results two total aerial counts of the Central Limpopo Valley elephant population.

Subgroup Locality Total (Corrected) Difference
        Aug 2000 Jul 2001 2000 - 2001
       
*F.R. Males
Total
F.R. Males
Total
Male Groups
Total
NTGR                                Botswana - NTGR
6
575
37
957
31
382
Zimbabwe - Tuli Circle
3
63
0
0
-3
-63
South Africa - Greeffswald
0
0
9
9
9
9
South Africa - Ratho
0
0
3
3
3
3
South Africa - Den Staat
0
0
2
2
2
2
South Africa - Schroda
0
0
2
2
2
2
South Africa - Samaria II
5
6
0
0
-5
-6
   
14
644
53
973
39
329
       
   
   
   
   
   
   
Southern Tuli Block            Botswana- Tuli Block
18
398
46
277
28
-121
Botswana - Village Areas
7
28
0
0
-7
-28
   
25
426
46
277
21
-149
   
Nottingham & Sentinel        Zim - Nottingham & Sentinel
1
187
5
105
4
-82
   
1
187
5
105
4
-82
   
   
   
   
   
   
   
Northern Shashe    Zim & Bot - Upper Shashe
0
132
0
11
0
-121
   
0
132
0
11
0
-121
TOTAL    
40
1389
104
1366
64
-23
* F.R. males      Free Roaming males

The total figures obtained from both total aerial counts are similar. The highest number of elephants counted within the Northern Tuli Game Reserve was along the Motloutse River area. This area joins to the rest of the Tuli Block and need to be seen as one unit due to frequent movement of the elephants between the two sections. Comparing the results of the two total aerial counts for the Northern Tuli Game Reserve and the Tuli Block collectively there is an average deviation of 261.

During the August 2000 count a higher number of elephants were counted within the Zimbabwean section than the July 2001 count. The difference between the two consecutive years is 266. A higher number of elephants were also observed within the Limpopo riverine on the South African section compared to the previous year.The total number of elephants counted during the July 2001 count was not significantly different from the August 2000 count. The counts serve as a minimum count for the Central Limpopo Valley Elephant population.

The general distribution of the population did not differ between the two counts. The elephants concentrate in areas of low human densities. The numbers counted in different sections of the study area was however different between the two counts. The Northern Tuli Game Reserve seem to form the core area of their distribution with a large sub population forming within the Tuli Block. A resident population has also established on the two private game farms, Sentinel Ranch and Nottingham Estate in the Zimbabwean section. Movement across the Limpopo River from both Zimbabwe and Botswana into South Africa occur on a regular basis as well as movement along the Limpopo River from Botswana to Zimbabwe and back again. This may account for the differences observed in numbers between the two aerial counts. More elephants were observed during the July 2001 count on the Motloutse River in Botswana than the August 2000 count. This can also account for the higher number of elephants counted within the Northern Tuli Game Reserve.

The fact that no elephants were counted within the Tuli Circle during the July 2001 count is interesting and no apparent reason for this can be found except maybe the impact that high hunting pressure within the area might have on the elephant population within the area.

The boundaries of the study area seem to be well defined but movement of groups out of the area is likely. Such areas are mainly along Shashe River in the northern section of the study area and to the east of Beitbridge.

This however I believe is to be a low percentage of the population. The elephants are mainly distributed within areas of low human densities. Factors like rainfall, water availability and food distribution may influence the distribution and movements of elephants within these areas. These aspects however need further investigation and will be addressed in a follow-up study.

The Central Limpopo Valley Elephant Population are estimated at 1400 elephants within the region with the highest density of elephants occurring within the Northern Tuli Game Reserve and the Tuli Block, Botswana. It appears that four sub populations have established within the study area. A resident group of approximately 100 – 200 elephants has established themselves on Sentinel Ranch and Nottingham Estate, Zimbabwe. Another group seem to be utilising the Shashe River in the northern section of the study area. This area however needs further investigation. A resident sub population of 300-400 elephants are estimated within the Tuli Block and within the Northern Tuli Game Reserve the resident population are estimated at 500 – 600 elephants. The high density of elephants within this area is a matter of great concern to the landowners within the area. High densities of elephant together with a decrease in rainfall have resulted in a dramatic change in the vegetation of the area.

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